Bootstrap-Enhanced Distributionally Robust Scheduling of Loading Yards
Abstract Talk #88
Every schedule is a bet on the future. Whether in logistics, manufacturing, or transportation, good decisions depend not only on optimization but also on how uncertainty is represented. This talk presents a new data-driven approach to scheduling that lets uncertainty emerge from the data themselves, rather than from predefined assumptions. Originally motivated by a real logistics problem, the method combines forecasting, bootstrap aggregation, and distributionally robust optimization into a single decision-making framework. Historical time series are used to build predictive models whose training explicitly accounts for the downstream scheduling objective, while bootstrap and bagging of autoregressive models generate realistic scenarios for optimization. The approach is the applied on the scheduling of truck loading operations in a warehouse yard, where it supports the validation of the dimensioning of a new logistics facility by evaluating its expected operational performance under uncertainty. Although inspired by a specific application, the ideas extend well beyond warehouse logistics, offering a different perspective on the interplay between forecasting and optimization, and suggesting that better schedules may come not only from better algorithms, but also from a better understanding of what we do—and do not—know about the future.
Universtiy of Bologna
UTC
Nov 04, 14:00 Wed
Prague
Nov 04, 15:00 Wed
New York
Nov 04, 09:00 Wed
Shanghai
Nov 04, 22:00 Wed
Invited by: Andrea Schaerf (University of Udine)